Sunday, January 12, 2014

Will IBM's Watson replace Doctors?

Louie Helm • 2 days ago −
Doctors don't bother to stay up to date on medical literature out of lack of time and laziness. PubMed and Google don't change that... which is probably for the best. Doctors aren't magically smart in all areas, and most practicing physicians are too statistically illiterate to properly interpret studies done by today's researchers. Watson is probably not better than the best doctors right now, but I expect that soon it will be better than the average (if it's not already). In a decade, it will be doing more of the intellectual work in the diagnosis and treatment of diseases than even the best doctors.

In 10 years, doctors are more likely to be obsolete functionaries who cling to their jobs via lobbying for state regulation (much like realtors today) so that they can avoid being entirely replaced by superior performing websites (like travel agents were).

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